By Paul K. Davis
Effects-based operations (EBO) are outlined for thismonograph as operations conceived and deliberate in a platforms framework thatconsiders the entire variety of direct, oblique, and cascading results
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Extra info for Effects-Based Operations (EBO): A Grand Challenge for the Analytical Community
As indicated by the examples in Chapter Three, the results of an operation may even be the opposite of those intended. , models that have low resolution or are abstracted or aggregated. Such models are needed because more-detailed models bring the curse of dimensionality down upon 36 Effects-Based Operations Achieve early halt [Preclude sudden victory (a coup de main)] Build up forces and logistics Use forwarddeployed shooters Conduct full-scale deployment after C-day Reinforce upon strategic warning • Forward presence • Base preparations • Prepositioning • Fast deployment • Good use of warning • Force protection • Fallback bases with logistics • Access Establish higheffectiveness C 2 and C4 ISR Suppress or evade air defenses Use Alert, Attack standing deploy, and and capability employ suppress in and systems integrated outside upon air theater warning defenses and C-day and SAMs • Standing command and control group • Bases, prepositioning • Good use of warning • Access Evade air defenses Conduct effective interdiction operations Attack fixed locations Attack moving mechanized forces • Prior planning • Effects-based planning focused on: • Prior preparation of decisionmakers – immediate delays • Sufficient numbers of anti-SAM – immediate munitions, disruption platforms – potential for • Dynamic control exploiting weaknesses of • Access morale and cohesion • Straightforward attrition of armored fighting vehicles (and logistics) NOTE: Depicts interdiction-only case; preference is for integrated operations, including use of ground forces.
4. , destroy ammunition or POL stocks, sever lines of communication necessary for resupply, or prevent surveillance). 5. , soften defender infantry by massive artillery fire and bombing prior to one’s own offensive into the infantry positions). 6. S. Marine and Army units; and higher-level disinformation, such as deception regarding the landing areas for Operation Overlord). 7. Influence the decisions of the enemy leader by making visible preparations for a large-scale ground offensive (as was arguably accomplished in the later days of the Kosovo campaign).
1 Much of ______________ 1 The original reference is Bowie, Frostic, et al. (1993). See Ochmanek, Harshberger, Thaler, and Kent (1998) for a clear and more recent description. S. , soft) factors, which are often at the core of real-world operations. The impact of such omissions is pernicious. In particular, analyses often conclude that there is little or no hope for an early halt, and as a result, objectives are weakened. In many specific contexts, however, an early halt is definitely the appropriate objective, since it is the only achievable objective: Kuwait City is within 100 km of the Iraqi border; Seoul is even closer to the border with North Korea.
Effects-Based Operations (EBO): A Grand Challenge for the Analytical Community by Paul K. Davis